All fairly quiet today. Retracement is still underway. If anything, looking at the charts I think we may see the Dollar retrace back a little higher first, before a resumption of the main daily retrace, thus, you could look to play both sides.
I would be carefull with counter trend trades today, as the data cupboard is quite heavy out of the US - ForexLive Eco Calendar. Dont get caught.
Technically, Eur and cable hourly charts have turned over -ve so looking for a dip there back toward 1.3700 and 1.5700. Usd/Chf has bounced nicely and looks to tgt the 220 sma hrly. Aud and Canada continue to consolidate at or close to the 61.8 fib in miniscule ranges with indicators not much help.
On the Yen front, am watching minor up channel res at 90.70 just above the 90.67 the 78.6 fib reatracement level. Previous retrace saw price reverse off the 78.6. Watch the slow stoch 13,5,5 and RSI 14 for a confirmation of a short trade. Aud/Jpy and Eur/Jpy are both pretty similar here, possibly a little higher before a minor retracement lower back into the up channel support located at 80.56 and Eur/Jpy heading back to the hrly 300 lwma. Gbp/Jpy continues in its drift northward with the channel 140.80/143.20 and currently sits just above the 4 hrly 100/90 ema bands.
As far as open trades go we have not much on presently having personally missed the start of this retrace with the ma´s gettin blown apart with little or no pullback whatsoever.
Open Trades
Usd/Chf - short 1/4 unit @ 1.0785 stop 1.0785
Eur/Chf - long 1.4575 stop 1.4620
Closed 1/4 @ 1.4703
Working 1/4 tp @ 1.4750
Closed Trades
Xag/Usd Spot Silver - SQR
Closed 1/4 @ 16.25.
Closed 1/4 @ 15.65.
Closed 1/4 @ 15.45 Reversed @ 15.40
Reversed to 1/2 unit long @ 15.70 Closed at 15.75
Wednesday, 17 February 2010
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