As every fulltime trader working from home knows, there are interuptions at every turn...especially when its school holidays. Yesterday was no exception. The surprise announcement by the Fed, has turned the market on its ear. Anyone who tells you they saw this coming and is not surprised, is a liar... Yeh, OK, maybe in the second Qtr.. but on a friday morning in Asia...naahhh... Black Swan event more likes...which is why we always use stops...they are our seat belts.. or airbags if u want to get all 21st century on me.
As I arrived back to the house, a group of relo´s and friends were sitting up by the pool right next to my office, They asked me why, and what were all the sounds eminating at ever increasing tones coming from the office...luckily I came in to check.... I managed to sell some Crude Oil and Copper as they seemed to be lagging gold and Silver. I also sold some Aussie on the break of the ma..not so good..currently im down 10 pips and going to close that. Our Eur/Usd long from 1.3550 was stopped at b/e for no loss, but we gave up what profit we were sitting on..Yes, yes, I know I should have trailed the stop... shoulda coulda woulda, DIDN´T...
On a brighter note though, I also placed an order to buy Usd/Cad @ 1.0410 stop 1.0388 from an ALG reco.. gotta hand it to him.. when he gets it right he gets it really right..
It seems that the only reason the Dollar is not a great deal higher this morning is because the PBOC has been seen selling USD against nearly every major pairing throughout the Asian and London sessions.
I havnt gone into the details as to why the Fed raised the dscount rate,but, my first thought is that this was a politicaly motivated move ahead of Burntcakes´s appearance before congress next week. The Obama administration is hell bent on reducing, if not, eliminating leverage in the financial markets and the Fed by its actions has just shown that they are on the same team...well. they are acting like they are on the same side..you and I both know that isn´t true.
As far as trading goes, its back to the technicals to see what we can find..personally, I think we see some sort of retracement of yesterdays move then it will be back to the same ..a little more later.
Friday, 19 February 2010
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