Another fairly lackluster Asian session and an initial move in London with little follow through. The most interesting formations on the charts are a possible triple top in the Dollar Index - USDX at 80.82, Double top in Usd/Chf at 1.0826 and Double bottom in Eur/Usd at 1.3530/40.
First up to our open positions. Euro currently in a 1.3540/1.3595 range and currently sits a little below our entry after having fallen to 1.3540 on the London Open. Good sized buyers lie in wait ahead of 1.3500 large option interest and minor 1.3525 interest. I will be looking to add to Eur longs near 30 with the stop moved under 1.3495 on the whole position. On the top side should Eur fail again at 1.3595 I will move the 80 long stop to entry and await price action.
Usd/Chf, sits in a 1.0770/1.0826 range, currently at break even. similar to Eur I am still confident in our short and will hold that position for the time being.
Gold staged a nice bounce off the 200 lwma moving average and uptrend support line and expect price to continue higher toward 1111/1112 initially. Silver has chopped either side of the hrly 200 ema with support at 15.60 and res at 15.90.
Elsewhere, Cable again has been the whipping boy after less than impressive comments from BOE’s Barker and poor UK public finances data was released. Still bekieve we will see strong buying interest emerge ahead of 1.5500/30 area for a long trade which should tgt the hrly 300 lwma.
Aussie managed to hold a tad under the 0.8940 area but remains caught inbetween the 4 hrly 400 ema and the 100 smooth. a break and close of either one may indicate the next strong move unfolding. Watch for correlation between the Aussie, Gold and Silver in regards to our open positions.
Yen crosses remain in their perspective choppy ranges with only the Eur/Jpy worth monitoring. Currently sitting right on the 300 lwma. As a friend of mine pointed out yesterday, there are large option expiries in the US stocks on friday, what maybe unfolding is that given the low volumes seen in both the S+P and Dow, players may be holding the indicies artificially high into the option expiries thus expiring them worthless... at that point we may very well see stocks fall sharply bringing out Risk Off yen buyers once more. Aud/Jpy and Gbp/Jpy remain in their upward channels . Krrp an eye on Gbp/Jpy on the hourly with a break and close back over the 100ema triggering a small long position.
Thats kind of it for now, I will update anything else I see as the day unfolds including open position management.
Open Trades
Eur/Usd - Long 1 unit @ 1.3580 stop 1.3495
above 1.3600 move stop to 1.3550
above 1.3620 move stop to entry
tgt 1.3695
Looking to Add @ 1.3530 stop 1.3495
Usd/Chf - Short 1 unit @ 1.0800 stop 1.0850
below 1.0765 move stop 1.0830
below 1.0750 move stop to entry
tgt 1.0715
Looking to add 1.0825/30 stop 1.0850
Eur/Chf - Long 3/4 unit @ 1.4575 stop 1.4620
Closed 1/4 @ 1.4703
Working 1/4 tp @ 1.4750
Open Orders
Spot Gold - Xau/Usd Buy 1/2 unit @ 1100 stop 1090 offered. Reverse to short on break and close under the 200 lwma.
No comments:
Post a Comment